Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3012 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Today

SY 3012 · AFW → STL

departs 11:36 PM CT · arrives 1:28 AM CT

Your aircraft is N5153A (B738), coming in as SY 3006 from ABQ: landed 8:39 PM CT.

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

3% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
96%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into STL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

↓ STL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AFW (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

STL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3012 · AFW → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?