Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 8223 LANDED 6:03 PM CT, ~19 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

SY 8223 · SPI → MSP

took off 4:54 PM CT · landed 6:03 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at MSP that day

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SPI

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SPI (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling9,857 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 8223 · SPI → MSP

Odds over time