tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

TAP AIR PORTUGAL · FLIGHT TP 238 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

TP 238 · SFO → LIS

departs 4:36 PM PT · arrives 10:17 AM WET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Arrive at LIS more than 15 minutes late?
15% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LIS?

  1. On time or early
    84%
  2. 15–30 min late
    4%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.