tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1582 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1582 · LGA → ORD

departs 7:34 PM ET · arrives 9:03 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
25% chance · ±1 pts −6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands Now

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    74%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.