UA 2459 · DEN → YYC

departs 11:43 AM MT · arrives 2:44 PM MDT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to YYC?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at DEN that day

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into YYC at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

YYC (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2459 · DEN → YYC

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYC?