tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 309 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 309 · ORD → DFW

departs 2:32 PM CT · arrives 5:02 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
31% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.6d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DFW?

  1. On time or early
    68%
  2. 15–30 min late
    18%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.