Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 639SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 639 · SFO → SBA
departs 5:05 PM PT · arrives 6:30 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SBA more than 15 minutes late?
22%chance · ±0 pts−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to SBA?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.