Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 873 LANDED 7:17 PM JST, ~24 MIN EARLY
Yesterday

UA 873 · GUM → NRT

took off 5:00 PM ChST · landed 7:17 PM JST (scheduled 4:53 PM ChST → 7:48 PM JST)
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at NRT more than 15 minutes late?
Not late chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.1d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late did it get to NRT?

RESOLVED
  1. On time or early
    ✓
  2. 15–30 min late
    –
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    –
  4. 1–2 hours late
    –
  5. Over 2 hours late
    –

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.