tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 873 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

UA 873 · GUM → NRT

departs 5:00 PM ChST · arrives 8:04 PM JST
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Arrive at NRT more than 15 minutes late?
18% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.1d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to NRT?

  1. On time or early
    82%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.