WN 10 · DAL → DCA

departs 10:10 AM CT · arrives 2:10 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 10 · DAL → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?