WN 2661 · MIA → BWI

departs 5:37 PM ET · arrives 8:14 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 36 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↑ 5pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts36 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.41 in

BWI (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2661 · MIA → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?