WN 3315 · DEN → MSP

departs 11:25 AM MT · arrives 2:16 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts +37 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
41%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ Other factors

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.33 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3315 · DEN → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?