WN 4075 · MDW → DCA

departs 9:14 AM CT · arrives 12:07 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ DCA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4075 · MDW → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?