Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
WESTJET · FLIGHT WS 1098
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
WS 1098 · YEG → PHX
departs 6:59 AM MDT · arrives 9:38 AM MT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 50%
Sat 10/31 13%
Sun 11/1 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave YEG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at YEG that day
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
YEG (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.