Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
WESTJET · FLIGHT WS 1098
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
WS 1098 · YEG → PHX
departs 8:11 AM MDT · arrives 11:05 AM MT
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Thu 10/29
Sat 10/31 13%
Sun 11/1 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±8 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave YEG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.6 in of snow forecast at YEG that day
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
YEG (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.03 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.