Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
WESTJET · FLIGHT WS 1430
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
WS 1430 · YYC → BNA
departs 1:14 PM MDT · arrives 6:18 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 35%
Thu 10/29 25%
Fri 10/30 26%
Sat 10/31 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave YYC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 2 mi forecast at YYC that day
↑
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
YYC (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,167 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
BNA (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.