Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
WESTJET · FLIGHT WS 1430
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
WS 1430 · YYC → BNA
departs 1:16 PM MDT · arrives 6:18 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 24%
Fri 10/30 26%
Sat 10/31 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±2 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave YYC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at YYC that day
↑
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
YYC (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.02 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.