Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
WESTJET · FLIGHT WS 1531
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
WS 1531 · MSP → YEG
departs 2:56 PM CT · arrives 5:13 PM MDT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 17%
Fri 10/30 13%
Sat 10/31 20%
Sun 11/1 12%
Mon 11/2 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at YEG more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YEG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at YEG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to YEG?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at YEG that day
↑
2pm departures from MSP are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
YEG usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.33 in
YEG (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.