WS 1992 · YYC → ATL

took off 12:34 AM MDT · expected to land 6:38 AM ET (scheduled 12:26 AM MDT → 7:05 AM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ATL?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at YYC that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

YYC (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WS 1992 · YYC → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?