Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
LATAM ECUADOR · FLIGHT XL 118
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
XL 118 · UIO → MIA
departs 12:16 AM -05 · arrives 5:34 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.1d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave UIO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Gusts to 37 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MIA that day
↑
MIA is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at UIO
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
UIO (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MIA (destination)
Gusts 36 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.41 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.