Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
LATAM ECUADOR · FLIGHT XL 119
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
XL 119 · MIA → GYE
departs 3:24 AM ET · arrives 6:55 AM -05
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 11/2 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at GYE more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.1d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GYE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at GYE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GYE?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
This route's recent record
↑
MIA is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GYE
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.48 in
GYE (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.