Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

LATAM ECUADOR · FLIGHT XL 225 LANDED 7:30 AM EST, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

XL 225 · MIA → PTY

took off 6:08 AM ET · landed 7:30 AM EST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at PTY more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ MIA is prone to delays

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at PTY that day

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from MIA are usually not late

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts36 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.37 in

PTY (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

XL 225 · MIA → PTY

Odds over time