Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
MESA · FLIGHT YV 6189SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
YV 6189 · JAX → IAD
departs 7:14 PM ET · arrives 9:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 17h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
14%chance · ±1 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREGood. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
How late will it get to IAD?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.