Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
MESA · FLIGHT YV 6273SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
YV 6273 · SBN → IAD
departs 10:09 AM ET · arrives 11:58 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
10%chance · ±0 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREHigh. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
How late will it get to IAD?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.