Schedule: FAA flight plans.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4586
DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 9:00 AM ET (27 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Today
YX 4586 · JFK → DCA
departs 8:25 AM ET · arrives 9:53 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to DCA?
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On time or early
84%
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15–30 min late
11%
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30 min–1 hour late
<1%
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1–2 hours late
3%
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Over 2 hours late
<1%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.