YX 4644 · LGA → LIT

took off 6:08 PM ET · landed 7:38 PM CT (scheduled 6:02 PM ET → 8:11 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LIT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LIT

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LIT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4644 · LGA → LIT

Odds over time

How late did it get to LIT?