tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4799 LANDED 6:57 PM ET, ~31 MIN EARLY
Yesterday

YX 4799 · ORD → MDT

took off 4:41 PM CT · landed 6:57 PM ET (scheduled 4:32 PM CT → 7:34 PM ET)
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?
Not late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late did it get to MDT?

RESOLVED
  1. On time or early
    ✓
  2. 15–30 min late
    –
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    –
  4. 1–2 hours late
    –
  5. Over 2 hours late
    –

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.