YX 5749 · LGA → DCA

departs 11:20 AM ET · arrives 12:42 PM ET

Your aircraft is N879RW (E170), coming in as YX 5664 from MSN: landed 9:53 AM ET.

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ 11am departures from LGA are often late

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5749 · LGA → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?