Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 2052
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
9X 2052 · LNY → OGG
departs 5:01 PM HT · arrives 5:51 PM HT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 35%
Fri 10/30 22%
Mon 11/2 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±9 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
6%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave LNY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at OGG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −16 pts in 24h
−16 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to OGG?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 2 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at OGG that day
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at LNY that day
↑
OGG is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
5pm departures from LNY are usually not late
Weather at each end
LNY (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.74 in
OGG (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 2.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.