Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 2052
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
9X 2052 · LNY → OGG
departs 5:00 PM HT · arrives 5:49 PM HT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Wed 10/28 44%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 22%
Mon 11/2 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±7 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
6%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave LNY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at OGG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to OGG?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 2.33333 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at OGG that day
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at LNY that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
9X's recent on-time record
↓
LNY usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LNY (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.23 in
OGG (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.