Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 663
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
9X 663 · LNY → HNL
departs 10:11 AM HT · arrives 11:14 AM HT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 27%
Fri 10/30 20%
Sat 10/31 24%
Sun 11/1 23%
Tue 11/3 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±7 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
8%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave LNY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
8%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at LNY that day
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.2 in of rain forecast at HNL that day
↑
HNL is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
10am departures from LNY are usually not late
Weather at each end
LNY (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.74 in
HNL (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 2.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.