Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 663
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
9X 663 · LNY → HNL
departs 10:10 AM HT · arrives 11:13 AM HT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Wed 10/28 39%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 20%
Sat 10/31 24%
Sun 11/1 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±4 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave LNY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
HNL is prone to delays
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at LNY that day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
10am departures from LNY are usually not late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LNY (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.23 in
HNL (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.