Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 706
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
9X 706 · HNL → LNY
departs 12:26 PM HT · arrives 1:29 PM HT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 22%
Fri 10/30 16%
Sat 10/31 17%
Sun 11/1 15%
Mon 11/2 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at LNY more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±11 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
6%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LNY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at LNY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to LNY?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at HNL that day
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at LNY that day
↑
12pm departures from HNL are often late
↓
LNY usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into LNY at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 2.18 in
LNY (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.74 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.