Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 706
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
9X 706 · HNL → LNY
departs 12:25 PM HT · arrives 1:35 PM HT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Wed 10/28 33%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 16%
Sat 10/31 17%
Sun 11/1 15%
Mon 11/2 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at LNY more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±3 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LNY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at LNY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to LNY?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at LNY that day
↑
12pm departures from HNL are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
LNY usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into LNY at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
LNY (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.