Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 709
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
9X 709 · LNY → HNL
departs 1:36 PM HT · arrives 2:35 PM HT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 34%
Sat 10/31 26%
Sun 11/1 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±7 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave LNY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at HNL that day
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at LNY that day
↑
HNL is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
1pm departures from LNY are usually not late
Weather at each end
LNY (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.74 in
HNL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 2.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.