Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 709
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
9X 709 · LNY → HNL
departs 1:34 PM HT · arrives 2:37 PM HT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Wed 10/28 41%
Thu 10/29
Sat 10/31 26%
Sun 11/1 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±5 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave LNY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
HNL is prone to delays
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at LNY that day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
9X's recent on-time record
↓
1pm departures from LNY are usually not late
Weather at each end
LNY (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.23 in
HNL (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.