Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 909
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
9X 909 · OGG → MUE
departs 6:12 PM HT · arrives 7:25 PM HT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 16%
Fri 10/30 11%
Sat 10/31 11%
Sun 11/1 12%
Mon 11/2 11%
Tue 11/3 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at MUE more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.2d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MUE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at MUE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MUE?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at OGG that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at MUE that day
↓
MUE usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
OGG (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 2.05 in
MUE (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.28 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.