Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1176 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28

AA 1176 · CLT → RSW

departs 10:13 PM ET · arrives 12:22 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to RSW?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 10pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

RSW (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,186 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1176 · CLT → RSW

Odds over time

How late will it get to RSW?