Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2016SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2016 · PHX → RNO
departs 1:36 PM MT · arrives 3:33 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
19%chance · ±0 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to RNO?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.