Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2018 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

AA 2018 · RSW → CLT

departs 11:45 AM ET · arrives 1:47 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from RSW are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

CLT (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2018 · RSW → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?