tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2030 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

AA 2030 · STL → DCA

took off 5:13 PM CT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 5:01 PM CT → 8:21 PM ET)
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
22% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DCA?

  1. On time or early
    77%
  2. 15–30 min late
    13%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.