tailodds FORECAST

Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Wednesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2161 SCHEDULED
Tomorrow

AA 2161 · JFK → MIA

departs 5:53 AM ET · arrives 8:46 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 25h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
9% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.2d 2d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    90%
  2. 15–30 min late
    4%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.