Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2509SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AA 2509 · MCO → DCA
departs 5:21 PM ET · arrives 7:43 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
30%chance · ±2 pts+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.