AA 2956 · DFW → ONT

took off 11:35 AM CT · landed 12:17 PM PT (scheduled 10:46 AM CT → 12:06 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at ONT more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ONT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

ONT (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2956 · DFW → ONT

Odds over time

How late did it get to ONT?