Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3255 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

AA 3255 · EYW → MIA

departs 1:42 PM ET · arrives 2:44 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±4 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ EYW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

EYW (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

MIA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,633 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3255 · EYW → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?