tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3260 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 3260 · PHX → TPA

departs 10:13 PM MT · arrives 5:24 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
11% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 7.1d 2d 1d 12h 6h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to TPA?

  1. On time or early
    88%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.