AA 363 · MIA → CLE

took off 10:00 PM ET · landed 12:22 AM ET (scheduled 8:45 PM ET → 11:48 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CLE?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.16 in

CLE (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 363 · MIA → CLE

Odds over time

How late did it get to CLE?