tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 414 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AA 414 · BDA → MIA

departs 8:32 AM ADT · arrives 10:36 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
19% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.3d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    80%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.