tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 459 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 459 · CLT → STL

departs 10:56 PM ET · arrives 11:58 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
22% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 7.0d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to STL?

  1. On time or early
    78%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.