tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 990 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 990 · PHX → FAT

departs 8:26 PM MT · arrives 10:25 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
25% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 7.0d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to FAT?

  1. On time or early
    74%
  2. 15–30 min late
    13%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.